The crocodile is actually our
best role model as traders; their behavior is really the perfect metaphor for
how a trader needs to behave. We are without doubt predators, not just trading
predators, but as humans we are naturally built and function as hunters. As
traders, we must copy the crocodiles’ methods of hunting; we must be
disciplined, patient, adaptable and methodical in our approach. Crocs have also
demonstrated an ability to learn quickly and avoid risky situations as we will
discuss more about later, these are also things that we need to do as traders.
Think of the crocodile…he’s big,
fat, long and needs A LOT of protein in his diet to survive, to swim and to
hunt. Is his energy best spent going around all day eating little bait fish
which are easy to catch? Imagine how much energy he would expend trying to
catch a high quantity of low-quality prey like that all day. If you have ever
seen these crocodiles like I have in person, you will understand what I am
saying; crocs are designed and have evolved to be patient “sniper” hunters…many
little meals do not interest them as much as a big juicy nourishing meal does.
By trading less… our aim is to
make a nice large “meaty” size trade that sustains us until our next trade.
Sure we may have a few losses along the way to our big prize, but the goal here
remains clear; waiting on the sidelines (or the shores of the river like the
crocodile) to pounce on our prey and cop a huge nourishing meal. We don’t want
to be running all over the pond or river looking for any small piece of meat or
fish that we can find…we are going to wait it out and score ourselves a nice
big juicy profitable trade (or in the crocodiles case, probably a kangaroo, a
dog, or maybe even a human).
There is an expression in the
English language that most will have heard at some point in their lives: “All
good things come to those who wait”. This phrase is merely discussing the
merits of being patient, possibly frugal, disciplined and well planned, but its
implications are profound and very true for both the crocodile and the trader.
It may shock some of you to know
that nowadays I may trade only 3 times per week or even less some weeks. You’re
probably thinking “That’s not enough trades to make money”, I don’t blame you
for thinking that way and it’s easy to think that way with most mainstream
Forex websites pumping day trading and high frequency trading. But, my own
personal experience is that it’s much more lucrative to wait patiently for
high-quality trade setups than it is to stay glued to your charts all day and
night trying to trade everything you can find. The best trades are
obvious, they almost “talk” to you and tell you to trade them, once you know
what you’re looking for this will become apparent to you.
For definitions sake I would
refer to myself as a swing trader and a trend follower. I attempt to capture
the larger moves that occur over multiple trading sessions or possibly multiple
days or weeks. In this way, I am very much analogous to a crocodile in my
trading, in fact I might even buy a picture of a crocodile and hang it up in my
trading office to remind me of how successful a predator the crocodile has been
throughout history and most importantly, why it is so successful.
Crocs have a high strike-rate
It’s fairly safe to say that if
a croc gets its jaws around its prey, the prey is not getting away. Crocs have
a good strike-rate because they are patient and wait for the “easy”
opportunities and then act with confidence and speed…they don’t hesitate.
Whereas a Lion might have many failed hunting attempts trying to catch a
Gazelle or some other quick animal, expending a lot of energy in the process,
crocs tend to have less “losing trades” or failed hunting attempts…because they
don’t waste time or energy…they wait and wait and control themselves with
precision until their prey almost walks into their mouth…then they feed.
As traders, waiting and being
patient can increase your strike rate. Controlling ourselves is really all we
can do as traders…we cannot control our “prey” (the market)…we can only
conserve our money and wait patiently until our trading edge presents itself.
This is how you get a high strike rate as trader, not by trading a hundred
times a week in some futile effort to “scalp” the markets.
Crocodiles are good at avoiding risky situations; they learn fast
Crocs “…learn quickly and adapt
to changes in their situation. They particularly learn to avoid dangerous situations
very quickly”, according to the article The Extraordinary Lives of Crocs. The
article went on to discuss that this ability of crocs to learn quickly and
avoid dangerous or risky situations is yet another reason they’ve outlasted the
dinosaurs and are still thriving today. Avoiding risk is one way that a species
can survive over time and “win” the evolution battle of the fittest. Similarly,
not taking on more risk than is necessary as well as learning quickly are two
very important keys to becoming a successful Forex trader.
I have said many times before
that risk management is KEY to becoming a profitable trader. Some traders don’t
learn quickly like crocs do, instead they repeat the same mistakes over and
over until they blow out their trading account. Even though we are clearly far
more intelligent than crocs, we have a lot more emotions too, and these
emotions often cloud a trader’s “gut feel” and cause them to hesitate,
second-guess themselves and over-analyze the market. A croc does not
second-guess itself…it’s simply such a fine-tuned predator that being patient,
disciplined and executing with confidence are in built habits. As traders, we
need to learn from our mistakes, and fast, because money is on the line. Our
version of “avoiding risky situations” is not over-trading and not risking too
much per trade.
Conserving energy for the next kill
The crocodile waits for the big
meal because it makes more sense to wait and conserve energy by eating a large
chunk of protein less often. The croc conserves energy and time by eating this
way and it also is one of the main things that have ensured the survival of
crocodiles over hundreds of millions of years during many periods when food was
scarce.
If you think about not
interfering with your trades as helping to make you money, it might make it
easier to do. I actually imagine that I am making money by not trading and by
simply doing nothing, because by not losing money from over-trading and
over-involvement…technically you ARE making money. A crocodile would probably
eat less food overall if it was constantly running around trying to find small
prey, the crocodile intuitively knows that by being patient and disciplined it
has a better chance at getting a higher-quality meal. The crocodile “knows”
itself and its own limitations and uses its strengths to its advantage. Indeed,
the fact that the crocodile has been around since dinosaurs walked the Earth is
evolutionary proof that the concept of patience and discipline most certainly
pays off.
The crocodile intuitively knows
that it needs to conserve energy and wait for a big kill, this patience is
actually a “skill” for the crocodile and it’s also a habit that has developed
and reinforced in crocs over millions of years of providing them with large
tasty meals. Longevity is critical to a trader; we need to conserve the money
in our trading accounts so that when the “easy prey” or obvious trades come
along we can get the most out of them. If we go around trading everything we
see we will shrink our trading accounts and we won’t have enough money in our
accounts to get the most out of the high-probability signals. Just as if a croc
ran around all day trying to catch smaller prey it would not have the energy or
positioning to grab the bigger and better prey.
Crocodiles are highly adaptable
Crocodiles learn quickly and
adapt to changes in their situation. This is a large part of how and why they
have survived for millions of years whilst many other animals have become
extinct during that same time. According to the article I mentioned earlier’The
Extraordinary Lives of Crocs'; “…crocodile researchers often have to change
their capture techniques because it’s very hard to catch them [crocs] with the
same trick twice.”
Many researches think that the
adaptability of the crocodile, including its ability to “ignore” hunger for
long periods while it waits patiently for the “perfect” feeding opportunity, is
one of the main reasons they survived whatever killed off the dinosaurs. It’s
clear that the crocodile’s ability to adapt to its environment and to changing
situations is one of the reasons it has survived and thrived for millions of
years.
As traders, we have to adapt to
changing market conditions, and as we’ve already discussed we need to have ice
cold discipline to only trade when our “prey” is ripe for the taking. One of
the beautiful things about price action trading analysis is that it’s an
inherently adaptable trading strategy. Whereas many trading systems are rigid
and make you stick to a strict set of rules or conditions, price action
analysis gives you more of a “framework” to work off of when analyzing the
markets and this framework can be used to trade any market condition as
well as adapt to changing market conditions.
“Crocodile trading” should become a habit for you
In the past, I have written
about the value of patience and how it is the core attribute of some of the
greatest traders that have ever lived. I have put forward the argument on many
occasions that ‘less is more’ and I think in today’s market conditions that
statement is even more relevant. Over the years I have written countless
articles which discuss how to implement a patient trading approach. My
favorites being, “Trading like a sniper and not a machine gunner” and “The
minimalist guide to trading”. Hopefully many of you are really starting
to connect the dots by now and have discovered first hand just how powerful
these concepts are and what they can do for your overall trading performance
and profitability.
It’s almost funny that it’s
taken me until now to write an article on what traders can learn from
crocodiles considering I live in Australia where crocs are world-famous and plentiful.
Furthermore, almost every behavior of a crocodile directly parallels what it
takes to be a successful trader, the similarities are almost uncanny. The
crocodile is nature’s proof that “less is more” and that waiting patiently for
the higher-quality opportunities is a recipe for success. This recipe has kept
crocodiles thriving on the Earth for 200 million years, and it can and will
help you thrive in the markets if you use it properly.
It’s critical for the crocodile
to understand its prey and to know where to look for it and remain calm and
patient until it arrives. As traders, we have to know what our trading edge
looks like and where to look for it and then control ourselves enough to not
over-trade before it arrives.
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