The following table
lists the key economic data and other events that are due out during the week
of February 9th – February 13th, with release times displayed for the GMT time
zone.
The list also
includes the current market consensus forecast for each event and indicates
what sort of deviation might affect the forex market valuation of the indicated
currency positively.
Sunday, February 8th
·
2:39am CNY Trade Balance (60.0B expected, > good
for currency)
·
11:50pm JPY Current Account (0.95T expected, > good
for currency)
Monday, February 9th
·
12:15am AUD RBA Governor Stevens speaks (hawkish =
good for currency)
·
12:30am AUD ANZ Job Advertisements (1.8% expected,
> good for currency)
·
Day 1 ALL G20 Meetings (hawkish = good for currency)
·
9:00pm USD FOMC Member Powell speaks (hawkish = good
for currency)
·
11:50pm JPY Tertiary Industry Activity (0.1% expected,
> good for currency)
Tuesday, February 10th
·
12:30am AUD NAB Business Confidence (last 2 expected,
> good for currency)
·
12:30am AUD HPI (2.0% expected, > good for
currency)
·
1:30am CNY CPI (1.1% expected, > good for currency)
·
1:30am CNY PPI (-3.7% expected, > good for
currency)
·
7:45am EUR French Industrial Production (0.3%
expected, > good for currency)
·
8:15am CHF CPI (-0.4% expected, > good for
currency)
·
Day 2 ALL G20 Meetings (hawkish = good for currency)
·
9:30am GBP Manufacturing Production (0.3% expected,
> good for currency)
·
1:20pm USD FOMC Member Lacker speaks (hawkish = good
for currency)
·
3:00pm GBP NIESR GDP Estimate (last 0.6% expected,
> good for currency)
·
3:00pm USD JOLTS Job Openings (5.03M expected, >
good for currency)
·
10th-13th USD Mortgage Delinquencies (last 5.85%
expected, < good for currency)
·
5:45pm CAD Governing Council Member Wilkins speaks
(hawkish = good for currency)
·
11:30pm AUD Westpac Consumer Sentiment (last 2.4%
expected, > good for currency)
Wednesday, February 11th
·
All Day JPY Bank Holiday
·
12:30am AUD Home Loans (2.3% expected, > good for
currency)
·
12th-15th CNY New Loans (1,355B expected, > good
for currency)
·
All Day EUR Eurogroup Meetings (hawkish = good for
currency)
·
3:30pm USD Crude Oil Inventories (last 6.3M expected,
> good for currency)
·
6:01pm USD 10-year Bond Auction (last average yield
1.93 percent with a 2.6 bid to cover ratio, with a < yield and > ratio
good for currency)
·
9:30pm NZD Business NZ Manufacturing Index (last 57.7
expected, > good for currency)
·
10:00pm AUD RBA Assistant Governor Debelle speaks
(hawkish = good for currency)
·
11:50pm JPY Core Machinery Orders (2.4% expected, >
good for currency)
Thursday, February 12th
·
12:00am AUD MI Inflation Expectations (3.2% expected,
> good for currency)
·
12:30am AUD Employment Change (-4.7K expected, >
good for currency)
·
12:30am AUD Unemployment Rate (6.2% expected, <
good for currency)
·
All Day EUR EU Economic Summit (hawkish = good for
currency)
·
10:30am GBP BOE Governor Carney speaks (hawkish = good
for currency)
·
10:30am GBP BOE Inflation Report (hawkish = good for
currency)
·
10:30am GBP BOE Inflation Letter (hawkish = good for
currency)
·
1:30pm CAD NHPI (0.2% expected, > good for
currency)
·
1:30pm USD Core Retail Sales (-0.4% expected, >
good for currency)
·
1:30pm USD Retail Sales (-0.3% expected, > good for
currency)
·
1:30pm USD Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (279K
expected, < good for currency)
·
3:00pm USD Business Inventories (0.2% expected, >
good for currency)
·
10:30pm AUD RBA Governor Stevens speaks (hawkish =
good for currency)
Friday, February 13th
·
6:30am EUR French Preliminary GDP (0.1% expected, >
good for currency)
·
7:00am EUR German Preliminary GDP (0.3% expected, >
good for currency)
·
7:45am EUR French Preliminary Non-Farm Payrolls (-0.1%
expected, > good for currency)
·
8:15am CHF PPI (-0.6% expected, > good for
currency)
·
9:00am EUR Italian Preliminary GDP (0.0% expected,
> good for currency)
·
10:00am EUR Flash GDP (0.2% expected, > good for
currency)
·
1:30pm CAD Manufacturing Sales (-0.9% expected, >
good for currency)
·
1:30pm USD Import Prices (-3.1% expected, > good
for currency)
·
3:00pm USD Preliminary University of Michigan Consumer
Sentiment survey (98.2 expected, > good for currency)
Technical Forecast and Levels to Watch for the Majors
This Week
EUR/USD:
Mildly Higher
Resistance:
Initial: 1.1375, 1.1422, 1.1459, 1.1498, 1.1533, 1.1642,
1.1753, 1.1866/77, 1.1900/01, 1.1938, 1.1975, 1.2041, 1.2133, 1.2143,
1.2162/64, 1.2219, 1.2241/55, 1.2270/72, 1.2323/33, 1.2357/62, 1.2381/94,
1.2407/39, 1.2455, 1.2494/96, 1.2500/01, 1.2514/19, 1.2531, 1.2545, 1.2569/70,
1.2588/89, 1.2605, 1.2613, 1.2623/25, 1.2661/63, 1.2676, 1.2692/98, 1.2715,
1.2744/54, 1.2791/1.2805, 1.2815/21, 1.2834/79, 1.2900/04, 1.2919/21, and
1.2978/98.
Above: 1.3000/03, 1.3047, 1.3059/66, 1.3077, 1.3093/1.3109,
1.3126, 1.3130, 1.3152/65, 1.3172/77, 1.3187/1.3206, 1.3220/42, 1.3294/99,
1.3305/08, 1.3318/24, 1.3332/35, 1.3344/53, 1.3366, 1.3376/89, 1.3398/1.3416,
1.3432/44, 1.3451, 1.3473/82, 1.3489/1.3524, 1.3538, 1.3546/88, 1.3597,
1.3602/15, 1.3621/31, 1.3639/50, 1.3663/76, 1.3682/86, 1.3685/1.3710,
1.3714/16, 1.3731/39, 1.3748, 1.3758/74, 1.3784/98, 1.3807, 1.3810/20, 1.3824,
1.3832/36, 1.3845/54, 1.3864, 1.3875/78, 1.3888/92, 1.3905/14, 1.3937, 1.3947,
1.3966/69, 1.3993/1.4000, 1.4246, 1.4500/17, 1.4695, and 1.4939.
Support:
Initial: 1.1297/1.1303, 1.1261, 1.1114 and 1.1097.
Below: 1.0917 and 1.0762/86.
USD/JPY:
Mildly Higher
Resistance:
Initial: 119.21, 119.62, 119.95, 120.17/20, 120.73/82,
121.38, 121.62, and 121.80/84.
Above: 124.14, 125.67/75, 126.17, 126.41, 126.90, and 135.19.
Support:
Initial: 118.45/97, 118.04, 117.93/99, 117.76, 117.43,
117.23, 116.82/117.02, 116.10, 115.85, 115.56/58, 114.65, 112.98, 111.78,
111.60, 110.39/47, 110.08, 109.90, 109.53, 109.45, 108.98, 108.42, 108.24,
108.00, 107.38/39, 107.18, 107.05, 106.80, 106.24, 105.70, 105.41/43,
105.30/33, 105.18, 104.83/91, 104.63/68, 104.36, 104.07/26, 103.91, 103.82,
103.73/75, 103.37/43, 103.30, 102.92/103.08, 102.57/82, 102.49/52, 102.33/40,
102.26, 102.13/14, 101.90/102.04, 101.60/83, 101.50/56, 101.42/43, 101.30/32,
101.08/27, 100.82/86, 100.75, 100.60/65, 100.38/48, 100.22, and 100.00.
Below: 99.94, 99.66, 99.40, 99.25, 99.13/14, 99.00,
98.84/92, 98.63/72, 98.48/53, 98.28, 98.20, 98.08, 97.75/83, 97.49/63,
96.90/97.05, 96.81, 96.65/70, 96.55/56, 96.05, 95.79/80, 95.44,
94.90/95.07, 94.87, 94.55, 94.19, 94.05, 93.76, 93.78 93.68, 93.50, 93.17,
92.77/95, 92.14/30, 91.19, 90.85, 90.20/32, 89.40/66, 88.05, 87.95/99, and
87.79.
USD/JPY: Mildly Higher
Resistance:
Initial: 1.5260/68, 1.5293, 1.5304, 1.5313/92, 1.5403/21,
1.5427, 1.5434, 1.5458, 1.5476/79, 1.5485, 1.5498/99, 1.5514/16, 1.5538/45,
1.5561/68, 1.5584/92, 1.5601/19, 1.5624/27, 1.5656, 1.5673, 1.5683/92, 1.5714/17,
1.5750, 1.5763, 1.5775/89, 1.5803/07, 1.5825, 1.5844, 1.5853, 1.5874/77,
1.5886/93, 1.5900/27, 1.5948/51, 1.5956/61, 1.5975/94, 1.6001/08, 1.6051/66,
1.6071/83, 1.6096/98, 1.6109/21, 1.6130/36, 1.6155, 1.6161, 1.6177/83,
1.6195/98, 1.6204/15, 1.6215/16, 1.6222/26, 1.6237/46, 1.6251/62, 1.6280/86,
1.6290, 1.6298/1.6309, 1.6336, 1.6348, 1.6357, 1.6376, 1.6380/83, 1.6394,
1.6400, 1.6415/18, 1.6441/44, 1.6458/65, 1.6484, and 1.6496.
Above: 1.6516, 1.6524, 1.6534, 1.6548, 1.6576/86,
1.6592, 1.6611/17, 1.6624, 1.6640/56, 1.6665/67, 1.6683, 1.6692/98, 1.6716/24,
1.6730/37, 1.6745, 1.6755, 1.6765/68, 1.6777, 1.6785, 1.6800/02, 1.6812,
1.6819/22, 1.6831/44, 1.6874/87, 1.6902/09, 1.6919/20, 1.6951, 1.6960, 1.6995,
1.7000, 1.7010, 1.7035, 1.7042/51, 1.7058/62, 1.7084, 1.7094/99, 1.7107,
1.7130, 1.7167, 1.7176/78, 1.7190, and 1.7440.
Support:
Initial: 1.5237/39, 1.5208/23, 1.5198, 1.5173/87,
1.5163/64, 1.5152/57, 1.5130, 1.5123, 1.5101, 1.5092, 1.5081, 1.5072/77,
1.5056, 1.5026/33, 1.5013, 1.5007, 1.4985/88, 1.4966/67, 1.4950, 1.4884,
1.4872, 1.4856, 1.4830, 1.4812, and 1.4785.
Below: 1.4345 and 1.4232.
AUD/USD: Higher
Resistance:
Initial: 0.7792, 0.7852/88, 0.7950, 0.7988, 0.8008,
0.8024/34, 0.8051, 0.8066/87, 0.8106, 0.8121, 0.8138, 0.8156, 0.8172,
0.8203/14, 0.8223, 0.8233, 0.8294, 0.8307, 0.8375, 0.8416, 0.8473/84, 0.8512,
0.8541, 0.8578, 0.8590, 0.8641, 0.8651/62, 0.8693, 0.8702, 0.8729, 0.8747/54,
0.8760/73, 0.8784, 0.8812, 0.8819/25, 0.8842/52, 0.8857/61, 0.8869, 0.8887/97,
0.8906/12, 0.8918/20, 0.8923/36, 0.8951/57, 0.8967/69, 0.8981/87,
0.8994/0.9010, 0.9035, 0.9041, 0.9042/48, 0.9054/57, 0.9061/66, 0.9072/79,
0.9102, 0.9110/19, 0.9127/37, 0.9147, 0.9162/67, 0.9179/89, 0.9200/08,
0.9214/26, 0.9232/74, 0.9286/94, 0.9304, 0.9311, 0.9328/34, 0.9343/53, 0.9359,
0.9386/0.9410, 0.9420/24, 0.9428/33, 0.9440/47, 0.9455/57, 0.9469 and
0.9483/86.
Above: 0.9500, 0.9524/27, 0.9536/42, 0.9571, 0.9585,
0.9592, 0.9620, 0.9640, 0.9664, 0.9676, 0.9689/96, 0.9710, 0.9732, 0.9757,
0.9791/94, 0.9841/96, 0.9900, 0.9925/83, 1.0000/18, 1.0052, 1.0099/1.0100,
1.0114/17, 1.0148/51, 1.0165/77, and 1.0181/82.
Support:
Initial: 0.7719, 0.7700, 0.7681, 0.7674 and 0.7625.
Below: 0.7413, 0.7365, 0.7271 and 0.7234.
USD/CAD: Mildly Lower
Resistance:
Initial: 1.2585/91, 1.2772, and 1.2797.
Above: 1.2985, 1.3007/14, and 1.3062.
Support:
Initial: 1.2456/58, 1.2378, 1.2045, 1.2016, 1.1976,
1.1933, 1.1886, 1.1872/75, 1.1841, 1.1802, 1.1794/96, 1.1723/29, 1.1670/72,
1.1666, 1.1547/90, 1.1475, 1.1457/65, 1.1443/47, 1.1391/92, 1.1384, 1.1331/39,
1.1310/12, 1.1289/95, 1.1263/77, 1.1254, 1.1221/29, 1.1190/94, 1.1168/73,
1.1158, 1.1152, 1.1141, 1.1116/32, 1.1102/09, 1.1097/99, 1.1081/89, 1.1069/70,
1.1030/53, 1.0982/1.1001, 1.0962/66, 1.0954/59, 1.0941/45, 1.0934, 1.0925/28,
1.0915, 1.0903/09, 1.0894,1.0873/86, 0852/59, 1.0849, 1.0839/40, 1.0820/27,
1.0813, 1.0793/96, 1.0742/85, 1.0736, 1.0726, 1.0717, 1.0702/09, 1.0693,
1.0668/79, 1.0646/60, 1.0619/29, 1.0608,1.0580/87, 1.0567/71, 1.0558/59,
1.0546, 1.0519/22, and 1.0506.
Below: 1.0496/1.0502, 1.0471/87, 1.0459, 1.0441/44,
1.0414/18, 1.0401/04, 1.0390/92, 1.0379, 1.0355/68, 1.0333, 1.0324, 1.0309/12,
1.0283/1.0305, 1.0270/76, 1.0262, 1.0244/55, 1.0233/35, 1.0199/1.0226,
1.0172/82, 1.0165, 1.0151/56, 1.0148, 1.0128/42, 1.0103/05, 1.0081/99,
1.0050/56, 1.0029/34, 1.0018, 1.0012, 0.9993/98, 0.9984, 0.9969, 0.9945/60,
0.9931, 0.9922, 0.9902/07, 0.9899, 0.9858, 0.9814/26, 0.9724/99, 0.9686,
0.9645, 0.9631, 0.9525, 0.9445, and 0.9405.
NZD/USD
Resistance:
Initial: 0. 7394, 0.7404, 0.7440/47, 0.7455/59, 0.7467,
0.7500/85, 0.7605/59, 0.7679/88, 0.7692/97, 0.7705/35, 0.7751/58, 0.7760/64,
0.7763, 0.7779/83, 0.7791/95, 0.7804/08, 0.7819/29, 0.7838/48,
0.7856/57, 0.7863/78, 0.7888, 0.7903/06, 0.7925/37, 0.7967, 0.7989/0.8013,
0.8030, 0.8040, 0.8049/60, 0.8075/82, 0.8100/09, 0.8114/37, 0.8147/53,
0.8160/76, 0.8186, 0.8195/97, 0.8204/14, 0.8221/41, 0.8250/55, 0.8263,
0.8268/71, 0.8280, 0.8285/87, 0.8291/95, 0.8302/16, 0.8322/66, 0.8376, 0.8389,
0.8406, 0.8413, 0.8421/61, 0.8472/79, 0.8487/89, and 0.8499.
Above: 0.8504/18, 0.8523/37, 0.8542/53, 0.8560/61,
0.8571/78, 0.8584/90, 0.8602/05, 0.8633/41, 0.8647/53, 0.8660/67, 0.8671/74,
0.8693/0.8700, 0.8712/18, 0.8734, 0.8744, 0.8764/77, 0.8789, 0.8792, 0.8821,
0.8834, and 0.8840.
Support:
Initial: 0.7368, 0.7331, 0.7213 and 0.7174.
Below: 0.7112, 0.6806, 0.6639, and 0.6557.
Risk Statement: Trading
Foreign Exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable
for all investors. The possibility exists that you could lose more than your
initial deposit. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as
for you.
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